Friday, January 18, 2013

Kacsmar: Ravens desire to win, Patriots ought to win

On Sunday, the New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens every single will perform within their third AFC Championship game in excess of the previous 6 many years, the Patriots winning each along with the Ravens losing the two, which includes final year's 23-20 heartbreaker in Foxboro. It is also the third time the teams have met during the playoffs within the previous 4 many years.



No meeting seems a lot more evenly matched, which can be the initial rematch within a conference championship because the Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers met 3 many years in the row (1992-94).



It might be the last game on the good occupation for Ray Lewis, and long term Hall of Fame security Ed Reed just isn't far behind him for retirement. Therefore, the Ravens possess a smaller sized window of chance, however they will be the secondary story.



Should the New England Patriots fall at your home or fail to win the Super Bowl this yr, it is going to carry on the best run of playoff disappointment in NFL background.



Patriots should validate their record success


Whilst coach Bill Belichick and quarterback Tom Brady won 3 Super Bowls with each other from 2001-2004, that was an eternity ago. The only other existing Patriots to get won a Super Bowl using the crew are Deion Branch (backup receiver) and Vince Wilfork (being a rookie in 2004).



New England's regular-season accomplishment has only elevated, but no a lot more championships have come. The Patriots did come excruciatingly near 3 times, losing two Super Bowls on last-minute touchdown drives through the New York Giants and blowing the biggest lead ever within a championship game (18 factors), losing to your Indianapolis Colts.



The 2007 season commenced with controversy following the Spygate story of illegal videotaping broke, questioning the validity of New England's historic achievement. Belichick answered with among the most dominant seasons in background.


Although they have been nevertheless ahead with the curve offensively in people days, in 2007 the Patriots transformed the dynamic of their crew by including receivers Randy Moss and Wes Welker, the latter defining the function from the slot receiver. There was minor comparison with their championship teams, which have been developed on sturdy defenses.



New England's 2007 offense became the very first to utilize the shotgun on a lot more than 50 % of their plays, using factors of your spread offense Belichick picked up on from university coach Urban Meyer.



The outcomes have been amazing because the 2007 Patriots scored a record 589 factors. Brady threw a record 50 touchdown passes with Moss catching 23 of them. Once the group began 10-0, it had been outscoring opponents by 25.four factors per game, hunting like arguably probably the most dominant group in historical past.



However the grind of the march on the best season took its toll. The Patriots fell behind by twelve factors for the New York Giants in Week 17, but came back to win to clinch the only 16-0 typical season ever. Nevertheless, the game created self-assurance from the Giants, who took down the Patriots (twelve.5-point favorites) in Super Bowl XLII, holding probably the most prolific offense ever to just 14 factors. Brady, who scoffed at Giants' receiver Plaxico Burress' prediction of New England scoring 17 factors, was sacked 5 occasions just after enjoying pristine pass safety all season.



It even now took the biggest drive in NFL historical past, engineered by Eli Manning, to obtain the 17-14 win, however the Giants pulled off the upset, leaving the Patriots by using a hollow 18-1 finish.



Brady tore his ACL inside the to start with quarter on the 1st game in 2008, however the Patriots nonetheless managed to finish 11-5 behind Matt Cassel. Nevertheless, they became just the 2nd 11-5 group ever (1985 Denver Broncos) to not qualify for that playoffs.



Returning to begin the 2009 season, Brady led the Patriots to a thrilling comeback win above Buffalo in Week one, but that will be Brady's only game-winning drive of your season. The 2009 group struggled to near video games out, which was the hallmark of New England's earlier accomplishment inside the decade.



The season-changing second came in Week ten once the Patriots (6-2) played the Colts (8-0) in prime time. The moment holding a 17-point lead inside the fourth quarter, the Patriots faced a 4th-and-2 at their very own 28, holding onto a 34-28 lead with two:08 left. Most coaches would punt, but Belichick kept the offense to the field. Brady's pass to Kevin Faulk was brief of your initial down, and Peyton Manning threw the game-winning touchdown with 0:13 left in the 35-34 comeback win.


From that stage the Patriots completed just 4-4, lost Welker to injury in Week 17, and hosted the Ravens within the Wild Card round. Ray Rice started off the game with an 83-yard touchdown run, and Brady turned the ball in excess of 3 times during the initially quarter. Baltimore led 24-0 at that stage, and went on to win 33-14. The Ravens lost in New England by a 27-21 last in Week four.



In 2010 the Patriots once again began to evolve their offense right after drafting tight ends Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez. They completed the frequent season on an eight-game winning streak, turning the ball above just one particular time (+23 in turnover differential), and averaging 37.four factors per game (no less than 31 factors in each and every game). No overall performance was much more remarkable than a 45-3 rout with the Jets in Week 13.



The 2010 Patriots scored 518 factors. Brady won his 2nd MVP award, getting to be the initial unanimous choice ever. He threw 36 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions, going a record 335 pass attempts without the need of an interception.



This was the scariest crew getting into the playoffs lately. Owning clinched the league's greatest record (14-2), the Patriots had by now beaten the Steelers (39-26), Jets (45-3), Bears (36-7) and Packers (31-27). These 4 teams ended up currently being the last 4 in 2010, because the Patriots fell flat on their encounter at your home while in the Divisional round against the Jets.



Brady threw an interception on his very first possession, snapping his streak. Mark Sanchez confidently guided the Jets to an upset win, although the scoring juggernaut managed 11 factors from the game's 1st 58 minutes against Rex Ryan's defense. Two late scores had been as well very little also late since the Jets won 28-21.



From 2006-2011, Brady set a NFL record with 31 consecutive wins at your home within the common season. But hidden during the streak have been these two property playoff losses.



In 2011 the Patriots yet again reshaped their offense, completely using Gronkowski and Hernandez, now within their 2nd season, towards the tune of 169 receptions for two,237 yards and 24 touchdowns. Gronkowski had the best obtaining season ever by a tight finish with 18 complete touchdowns.



Brady passed for five,235 yards (2nd most in NFL background), as well as the Patriots scored 513 factors while in the season. However they once more couldn't remedy Tom Coughlin's Giants, losing in the two the standard season and Super Bowl, scoring 17 factors this time in the 21-17 reduction.



Right here the Patriots are once again in 2012, scoring 557 factors inside the normal season, which can be the third-highest complete in NFL background. Certainly one of their most current offensive developments could be the utilization of one-word play-calls to run a no-huddle offense so rapidly the defense can not even get set (here is taking a look at you, Houston). It had been an additional stellar normal season, and now they sit two wins far from that elusive ring.



But we've got observed this ahead of. During the finish, a group the Patriots played inside the standard season has come back to beat them, and that is what has took place all 6 occasions from the playoffs considering that 2005. It could possibly be Baltimore, who previously beat the Patriots 31-30 in Week three (in Baltimore), or it could possibly be the San Francisco 49ers within the Super Bowl, who also beat the Patriots this yr.



Nearly every one of the gamers over the Patriots tend not to understand what it really is want to win a Super Bowl, however the shadow Belichick and Brady carry in excess of the group meshes their previous title results with each other along with the regular-season records considering the fact that 2007.



These two eras are mutually unique, and also the failure to win a championship within this offense-driven era should really reflect extra poorly around the crew, Belichick and Brady than it has up to now.



The Patriots are 76-20 (.792) during the typical season considering that 2007, and that is one of several greatest six-year runs ever. Additionally it is the top run to not develop a championship.



Regardless of the many offensive records, the Patriots haven't sealed the deal given that that final Super Bowl win just about eight many years ago. New England has currently had 3 from the highest-scoring teams in NFL historical past and only managed to score 14, 21 and 17 factors inside a season-ending reduction for which it had been the favored just about every time.



As being a 9-point preferred in excess of Baltimore, the Patriots of course are not able to win the Super Bowl this Sunday, nevertheless they can get rid of an additional shot at a single immediately after still an additional historic normal season.



The possibilities are operating out for Brady and Belichick. When individuals two can rest on their laurels, historical past won't deal with the Patriots as kindly with out a championship to validate this era's achievement.



Ravens seek out breakthrough win and great ending for Lewis


Nobody needs to be sleeping within the Ravens. The return of leader Ray Lewis has lifted the crew, because they hope to produce that storybook ending by using a walk-off Super Bowl victory, loved in previous many years by John Elway (1998) and Jerome Bettis (2005).



The Ravens are within the AFC Championship game for that third time given that 2008, the commence on the John Harbaugh/Joe Flacco era. Once more they are really around the road, getting lost 23-14 in Pittsburgh (2008) following Flacco threw an interception returned to get a touchdown by Troy Polamalu.



There may be the bitter taste of final year's reduction, by which Patriots defensive back Sterling Moore knocked what would happen to be the game-winning touchdown from Lee Evans' hands with 22 seconds left. Seconds later on, Billy Cundiff rushed and missed the game-tying kick, just the 2nd time in historical past a kicker missed a do-or-die field aim within a championship game or Super Bowl.


(The primary time was once the Buffalo Bills' Scott Norwood missed the game-winner in Super Bowl XXV, lifting then-New York Giants defensive coordinator Belichick along with the win.



Harbaugh came from Philadelphia, exactly where he was the particular teams coordinator through the Eagles' streak of 3 straight losses during the NFC Championship (2001-2003). His group has adequate big-game knowledge to obtain more than the hump, nevertheless it is usually a difficult process to win in Foxboro.



Baltimore is 2-4 against New England because 2007, but every single reduction was a nail-biter that went down on the wire. These teams know one another very well, and also the Ravens can stage to some constructive indicators soon after dealing with a so-so typical season.



The Ravens previously have beaten the Patriots this yr, along with the 503 yards of offense they piled up that evening would be the most New England has permitted this season. The Patriots have enhanced on defense considering the fact that Week three, but so has Baltimore.



The postseason continues to be the only time this yr the Ravens have had their large 4 on defense intact. Which is Lewis, Ed Reed, Terrell Suggs and Haloti Ngata. When they've got faced 174 offensive snaps the final two weeks, this defense is back to creating plays and limiting factors. They are going to also get some enable in the reality that Rob Gronkowski is out to the Patriots.



If winning a Super Bowl as of late is a lot more about peaking with the proper time, needing to conquer adversity, then the Ravens match the bill. They've the rallying cry to win 1 for Lewis, Flacco is thriving with large pass plays right after the crew replaced offensive coordinator Cam Cameron, and following the Giants, no group has offered the Patriots much more troubles than the Ravens.



New England's not the only steady winner on this game that lacks a latest championship. The Ravens are just the sixth group to ever win a playoff game in 5 consecutive seasons, however they will be the only crew to not attain a minimum of 1 Super Bowl. Only the 2000-04 Eagles failed to win a Super Bowl, whilst another 4 teams all came via no less than when.



With legacies within the line, and windows closing on a few of the game's greats, this need to be a traditional AFC Championship.


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